Our initial plan is to hope that the dry line does not set up too far east today. But, even if it is in southeastern New Mexico, where the shear environment appears somewhat favorable for a rotating storm or two, the moisture return from the Gulf is still meager. There is still a disjoint between where the greatest buoyancy is and the best shear. This has been showing up in the last few runs of the models.
We'll reevaluate as we travel. Meanwhile, we are planning to see Carlsbad Caverns...the bat flight tonight, and the caverns themselves tomorrow morning before all the tourists overun it.
Here's another picture of the fabulous rotating storm we witnessed yesterday.
